We’ll also, take a look at a few of equities and their price action: AVGO, NVDA, & FOUR.

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Today began with high hopes as I entered positions in MES and MNQ (Micro-SPX & Micro NASDAQ Futures COntracts). The market seemed to take off right out the gate, propelling my unrealized profits to more than $1,000 within a few minutes. However, greed and hesitation crept in, fueled by personal biases about what I “expected” the market to give me and the direction I “hoped” for.

This was my first lesson of the day: “The Market Owes You Nothing”. Mixing personal beliefs with an unpredictable market is a recipe for disappointment. My early gains quickly reversed into a -$200 realized loss.


After stepping away from the NQ, which showed indecisive behavior due to the underperformance of tech-heavy stocks, I focused on SPX. Its support and resistance levels appeared more reliable. By the time of writing, I managed to recover and turn the day positive again.

The market today resembled a chaotic dance—up, down, sideways, and back again. Scalping proved effective, emphasizing the need for quick, decisive actions. “Steal the money when it’s in your pocket”.


Equities mirrored the futures market’s early volatility, bursting out of the gate at the open only to retrace gains within the first hour. However, there were a few exceptions:

Showed a textbook Bull Flag formation and confirmed a breakout to the upside.

NVDA (NIVDIA) formed a bull flag and broke out today.

Hovered within a pennant pattern but leaned bearish, requiring caution.

AVGO (Broadcom) forming a pennant on the daily chart. Could be bearish or bullish. Proceed with caution.

A standout with bullish momentum, trading above its major moving averages, supported by positive earnings and strong analyst sentiment.

FOUR (Shift4 Payments), is trending above all major moving averages. Looks to be forming an ascending triangle pattern on the daily chart, which is a bullish continuation pattern.

Reflecting on today’s session, a few key lessons emerged:

  1. Patience is key: Great setups take time to form and even more time to confirm. Avoid rushing trades.
  2. Hope is not a strategy: Only trade when a valid setup is present, not based on what you “wish” the market would do.
  3. Avoid overtrading: Jumping in and out of trades while setups are forming leads to unnecessary losses and negative habits.
  4. Flow with the market: If you’re out of sync, pause, observe, and make small, calculated moves.
  5. Discipline over desire: Stick to your trading rules to minimize mistakes and maximize gains.

SPX chart, and trading behavior.

SPX (/ES & /MES) chart. Short term timeframe breakout to the upside.

RTY chart, and trading behavior.

RTY (/M2K) choppy price action before heading higher into the afternoon on the short term timeframe chart.

Trading is a constant battle of psychology, discipline, and strategy. The markets are unpredictable, and every day brings new challenges. But each challenge offers a lesson. For me, today’s takeaway is simple: stay patient, stay disciplined, and trust the process.

What’s your biggest trading lesson this week? Share your thoughts in the comments below!


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Quote of the week

“Know what you own, and know why you own it.” 

— Peter Lynch